{"id":999979516,"date":"2025-12-10T17:45:37","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T10:45:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/?p=999979516"},"modified":"2026-06-09T13:41:38","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T06:41:38","slug":"what-is-a-rolling-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"What is a rolling forecast? A guide to building a rolling forecasting model for flexible financial management."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In today&#039;s volatile business environment, shocks in raw material costs, interest rates, exchange rates, or sudden changes in the supply chain have become the &quot;new normal.&quot; Finance and Accounting departments, especially FP&amp;A (Financial Planning &amp; Analysis), face a major challenge: how to make timely decisions when past data no longer represents the future, and annual static budgets become almost completely outdated after only 3-6 months?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While budgeting at the beginning of the year is necessary, the underlying concern of CFOs and leaders is: <\/span><b>&quot;Not looking far enough ahead, 12\u201318 months into the future.&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><b>&quot;I don&#039;t know what the worst-case scenario looks like.&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> if the market reverses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the time for businesses to shift to a more flexible and continuous financial forecasting approach: <\/span><b>Rolling Forecast<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Rotating forecast).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This article will help you:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Explain clearly <\/span><b>What is a Rolling Forecast?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and the core difference from a static budget.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Demonstrate how to design, implement, and operate an effective Rolling Forecast model in FP&amp;A.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_80 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Index<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewbox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseprofile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Vi_sao_doanh_nghiep_can_Rolling_Forecast\" >Why do businesses need rolling forecasts?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#1_Boi_canh_va_van_de_thuc_te\" >1. Background and practical issues<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#2_Rolling_forecast_giai_bai_toan_gi\" >2. What problem does a rolling forecast solve?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#II_Rolling_Forecast_la_gi_phan_biet_voi_du_bao_tinh_va_Rolling_Budget\" >II. What is a Rolling Forecast? How does it differ from a static forecast and a Rolling Budget?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Dinh_nghia_rolling_forecast_va_du_bao_cuon_chieu\" >Definition of rolling forecast and rolling prediction<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Rolling_budget_la_gi_va_khac_rolling_forecast_the_nao\" >What is a rolling budget and how does it differ from a rolling forecast?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Static_forecast_vs_rolling_forecast\" >Static forecast vs rolling forecast<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Vai_tro_rolling_forecast_trong_FP_A_va_quan_tri_hieu_suat\" >The role of rolling forecasts in FP&amp;A and performance management.<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#III_Cau_truc_va_thanh_phan_cot_loi_cua_mot_mo_hinh_Rolling_forecast_la_gi\" >III. What are the structure and core components of a rolling forecast model?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Ky_du_bao_Forecast_horizon\" >Forecast horizon<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Tan_suat_cap_nhat_Update_frequency\" >Update frequency<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#KPI_tai_chinh_chinh_trong_rolling_forecast\" >Key financial KPIs in rolling forecasts<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-13\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Assumptions_va_driver-based_forecasting\" >Assumptions and driver-based forecasting<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-14\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Scenario_planning_trong_rolling_forecast\" >Scenario planning in rolling forecast<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-15\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#IV_Quy_trinh_trien_khai_Rolling_Forecast_trong_doanh_nghiep\" >IV. The Rolling Forecast Implementation Process in Businesses<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-16\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Buoc_1_%E2%80%93_Xac_dinh_muc_tieu_va_pham_vi\" >Step 1 \u2013 Define objectives and scope<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-17\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Buoc_2_%E2%80%93_Thiet_ke_mo_hinh_driver-based\" >Step 2 \u2013 Design the driver-based model<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-18\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Buoc_3_%E2%80%93_Ket_noi_du_lieu_actuals\" >Step 3 \u2013 Connect actuals data<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-19\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Buoc_4_%E2%80%93_Cap_nhat_forecast_dinh_ky_cuon_chieu\" >Step 4 \u2013 Update the forecast periodically (rolling)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-20\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Buoc_5_%E2%80%93_Phan_tich_sai_lech_Variance_analysis\" >Step 5 \u2013 Variance analysis<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-21\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Buoc_6_%E2%80%93_Dieu_chinh_ke_hoach_ngan_sach_va_hanh_dong\" >Step 6 \u2013 Adjust the plan, budget, and actions.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-22\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Rolling_forecast_workflow_va_vai_tro_cac_phong_ban\" >Rolling forecast workflow and departmental roles<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-23\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#V_Ung_dung_Rolling_Forecast_trong_quan_tri_tai_chinh_va_chi_phi\" >V. Application of Rolling Forecast in Financial and Cost Management<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-24\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Quan_tri_loi_nhuan_lien_tuc\" >Continuous Profit Management<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-25\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Rolling_cash_flow_forecast\" >Rolling cash flow forecast<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-26\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Lap_ngan_sach_linh_hoat_agile_budgeting\" >Agile budgeting<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-27\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Quan_tri_rui_ro_tai_chinh\" >Financial risk management<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-28\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#VI_Uu_nhuoc_diem_va_dieu_kien_de_Rolling_Forecast_thanh_cong\" >VI. Advantages, disadvantages, and conditions for successful Rolling Forecast<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-29\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Quan_tri_loi_nhuan_lien_tuc-2\" >Continuous Profit Management<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-30\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Rolling_cash_flow_forecast-2\" >Rolling cash flow forecast<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-31\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Lap_ngan_sach_linh_hoat_agile_budgeting-2\" >Agile budgeting<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-32\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Quan_tri_rui_ro_tai_chinh-2\" >Financial risk management<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-33\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#VII_Cong_nghe_giai_phap_EPM_ho_tro_Rolling_forecast_la_gi\" >VII. What are EPM technologies and solutions that support rolling forecasting?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-34\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#Van_de_khi_lam_rolling_forecast_bang_Excel_va_ERP_thuan\" >The problem with creating rolling forecasts using pure Excel and ERP.<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-35\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#VIII_Cau_hoi_thuong_gap_ve_Rolling_Forecast_la_gi\" >VIII. Frequently Asked Questions about Rolling Forecasts<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-36\" href=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/what-is-a-rolling-forecast\/#IX_Ket_luan\" >IX. Conclusion<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Vi_sao_doanh_nghiep_can_Rolling_Forecast\"><\/span><b>Why do businesses need rolling forecasts?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Financial forecasting and planning have changed significantly over the past decade. Traditional methods are no longer sufficient to keep pace with the rapid changes in the market.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_Boi_canh_va_van_de_thuc_te\"><\/span><b>1. Background and practical issues<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">To understand why Rolling Forecast is so crucial, we need to look at the pressures businesses are facing:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Unpredictable fluctuations:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Businesses are facing significant fluctuations in revenue (changing consumer habits), costs (inflation, energy prices), interest rates, exchange rates, and potential disruptions in the supply chain.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Static budgets are &quot;outdated&quot;:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> An annual budget (static budget) is built on initial assumptions and is typically only valid as a reference for 3\u20136 months. After that, it becomes a \u201cdead target,\u201d no longer reflecting the new market context.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Making vague decisions:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> CFOs and FP&amp;A departments are often forced to make major decisions based on past data (actuals) or outdated forecasts. This can easily lead to wasted costs, missed revenue opportunities, or sudden cash flow shortages.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"2_Rolling_forecast_giai_bai_toan_gi\"><\/span><b>2. What problem does a rolling forecast solve?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast is the answer to these questions. Basically, <\/span><b>Rolling Forecast is a continuous financial forecasting model.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (continuous planning)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Instead of focusing solely on the current fiscal year (e.g., 2025), Rolling Forecast always maintains a fixed outlook extending 12, 18, or 24 months into the future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Mechanism of action:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Each update (usually monthly or quarterly) removes the previous period (Actuals) and automatically adds a new period to the end of the forecast window (Horizon). This ensures that management always has a view of the next 12 months, regardless of whether it is January or December of the fiscal year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This method helps leaders:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Decision-making is faster because data is tracked and updated to reflect the latest context.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There is ample time to adjust long-term plans such as Capex (capital expenditure) or Funding Plan (capital raising plan).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-999979518 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast.webp\" alt=\"What is a rolling forecast? A guide to building a rolling forecasting model for flexible financial management.\" width=\"1024\" height=\"663\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast.webp 1024w, https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-300x194.webp 300w, https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-768x497.webp 768w, https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-18x12.webp 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"II_Rolling_Forecast_la_gi_phan_biet_voi_du_bao_tinh_va_Rolling_Budget\"><\/span><b>II. What is a Rolling Forecast? How does it differ from a static forecast and a Rolling Budget?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For effective implementation, it is necessary to clearly distinguish Rolling Forecast from other financial planning concepts.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dinh_nghia_rolling_forecast_va_du_bao_cuon_chieu\"><\/span><b>Definition of rolling forecast and rolling prediction<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><b>What is a Rolling Forecast? Rolling Forecast<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> It is a financial forecasting method that is updated periodically (usually monthly or quarterly) to maintain a fixed forecasting &quot;time window&quot; into the future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Key Features:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Horizon is fixed:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> There is always a forecast for the next month (e.g., 12 months, 18 months), regardless of when the fiscal year ends.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Continuously updated:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> The actual results of the past period will be included, and a new period will be added at the end of the model to maintain the $N$ monthly outlook.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rolling_budget_la_gi_va_khac_rolling_forecast_the_nao\"><\/span><b>What is a rolling budget and how does it differ from a rolling forecast?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Characteristic<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Budget<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Main objective<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What will happen \u2013 Focuses on the accuracy of future predictions.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Spending goals and limits (What should happen) \u2013 Add layers of spending goals, authority, and responsibility.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mechanism<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Forecasts are based on the latest Assumptions and Driver data.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Updating spending limits may also require more complex approvals.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Role<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Strategic forecasting tools.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tools for managing expenses and responsibilities.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>In short:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Rolling Forecast focuses on predicting the future, while Rolling Budget adds a layer of objectives and control. They can run in parallel, or Rolling Forecast can be used as input to update Rolling Budget.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Static_forecast_vs_rolling_forecast\"><\/span><b>Static forecast vs rolling forecast<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Characteristic<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Static Forecast<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Frequency<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Set up once a year, very few updates.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Regular updates (monthly\/quarterly) according to schedule.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Flexibility<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inflexible, easily becomes outdated.<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Highly adaptable, always reflecting the new context.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Scope<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Usually linked to a fiscal year (e.g., forecast for Q3, Q4\/2025).<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Always maintain a fixed vision (e.g., the next 12 months, from December 2025 to November 2026).<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Vai_tro_rolling_forecast_trong_FP_A_va_quan_tri_hieu_suat\"><\/span><b>The role of rolling forecasts in FP&amp;A and performance management.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In modern FP&amp;A, rolling forecasts play the role of: <\/span><b>continuous financial &quot;radar&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> For the CFO, CEO, and Board of Directors.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Data bridge:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Connect Actuals (past data) \u2013 Budget (goals) \u2013 Forecast (future predictions) in a single view.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>The foundation of Planning:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> As a foundation for <\/span><b>Continuity Planning<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Continuous planning) <\/span><b>Scenario Planning<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Script planning), and <\/span><b>Driver-Based Planning<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Planning based on key variables).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Measuring performance:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Performance evaluation should be based not only on meeting budgets, but also on continuously adjusting forecasts to better reflect reality.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"III_Cau_truc_va_thanh_phan_cot_loi_cua_mot_mo_hinh_Rolling_forecast_la_gi\"><\/span><b>III. What are the structure and core components of a rolling forecast model?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Designing the model is the most important step. A good model should be simple, flexible, and driven by real-world business variables.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ky_du_bao_Forecast_horizon\"><\/span><b>Forecast horizon<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This involves deciding on the length of the forecast &quot;time window&quot;: 12, 18, or 24 months.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>12 months:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Popular, flexible, and suitable for industries with short product\/campaign cycles (FMCG, Retail, SaaS).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>18-24 months:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Suitable for long-cycle industries (Infrastructure, Real Estate, Large-scale Manufacturing) where Capex or R&amp;D decisions need to be considered long-term.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This decision requires a balance between the need for foresight and the ability to make accurate predictions (the further into the future the prediction, the more difficult it is to be accurate).<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tan_suat_cap_nhat_Update_frequency\"><\/span><b>Update frequency<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The frequency of updates affects the workload and the timeliness of decisions.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Monthly:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Suitable for businesses that need tight control over cash flow and profits, or are in a phase of rapid growth\/high volatility. Optimized when supported by an EPM platform.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Quarterly:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Suitable for businesses with low turnover or those that do not yet have an automated EPM system.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Each update needs to be <\/span><b>Linked to the accounting closing schedule and executive meeting schedule (M-Review\/Q-Review)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> To ensure that forecasts are used for immediate decision-making.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-999979519 size-full aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-la-gi-Huong-dan-xay-mo-hinh-du-bao-cuon-chieu-de-quan-tri-tai-chinh-linh-hoat.png\" alt=\"What is a rolling forecast?\" width=\"960\" height=\"540\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-la-gi-Huong-dan-xay-mo-hinh-du-bao-cuon-chieu-de-quan-tri-tai-chinh-linh-hoat.png 960w, https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-la-gi-Huong-dan-xay-mo-hinh-du-bao-cuon-chieu-de-quan-tri-tai-chinh-linh-hoat-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-la-gi-Huong-dan-xay-mo-hinh-du-bao-cuon-chieu-de-quan-tri-tai-chinh-linh-hoat-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Rolling-forecast-la-gi-Huong-dan-xay-mo-hinh-du-bao-cuon-chieu-de-quan-tri-tai-chinh-linh-hoat-18x10.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"KPI_tai_chinh_chinh_trong_rolling_forecast\"><\/span><b>Key financial KPIs in rolling forecasts<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Rolling Forecast model should focus on the most critical KPIs, not on overly detailed forecasts like budgets. Core KPIs include:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Revenue:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> By product, channel, region.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Profit:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Gross Margin, EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, and Depreciation), Profit Before Tax.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Cash Flow:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Operating Cash Flow, Ending Cash Position, and related indicators. <\/span><b>Covenant Banking<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (if the business has bank loans).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Expense:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Capex (Capital Expenses), Opex (Operating Expenses), Headcount (Number of Personnel), Sales and Marketing Expenses.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Assumptions_va_driver-based_forecasting\"><\/span><b>Assumptions and driver-based forecasting<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Assumptions<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This forms the basis of all forecasts: revenue growth, cost ratios, exchange rates, interest rates, inflation, etc.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Driver-based forecasting<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> It is a forecasting method that uses key business variables (drivers) as a basis for prediction, rather than simply inputting detailed figures.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Benefit:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This method reduces the level of &quot;line-by-line manual input,&quot; instead FP&amp;A focuses on managing and adjusting the data. <\/span><b>Drivers truly drive financial results.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This helps to improve the logic and scalability of the model and enhance the quality of dialogue with business units.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Scenario_planning_trong_rolling_forecast\"><\/span><b>Scenario planning in rolling forecast<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is a key component for proactive leadership. Rolling Forecast allows for the parallel development of scenarios:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Base case:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Based on current market assumptions.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Upside (Positive scenario):<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Higher revenue growth, more optimized costs.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Downside (Negative Scenario):<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> The negative impact of inflation\/exchange rates\/recession on revenue and costs.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">FP&amp;A only needs to adjust a few key drivers in each scenario, then assess the impact on P&amp;L (Income Statement), Cash Flow, and Balance Sheet. This helps management prepare accordingly. <\/span><b>&quot;Options B and C&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> instead of just a single forecast number.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"IV_Quy_trinh_trien_khai_Rolling_Forecast_trong_doanh_nghiep\"><\/span><b>IV. The Rolling Forecast Implementation Process in Businesses<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Implementing Rolling Forecast is a process-changing project, not just a financial undertaking.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Buoc_1_%E2%80%93_Xac_dinh_muc_tieu_va_pham_vi\"><\/span><b>Step 1 \u2013 Define objectives and scope<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First, we need to answer the question: <\/span><b>What is a rolling forecast used for?<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>For example:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Managing continuous cash flow, controlling gross profit by product line, or supporting growth strategies.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Next is <\/span><b>scope:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> The entire corporation, individual Business Units (BUs), individual countries, or individual product lines. Start small and easily controllable (for example, forecast only P&amp;L and Cash Flow for the largest BU) before expanding.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Buoc_2_%E2%80%93_Thiet_ke_mo_hinh_driver-based\"><\/span><b>Step 2 \u2013 Design the driver-based model<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As mentioned in section 11, this step involves selecting and standardizing the core drivers for Revenue, Expenses, Capex, and Headcount.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Optimization:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Reduce the number of detailed forecast lines but increase the logic based on the driver.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Data source:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Connect the driver to a specific data source (CRM for Sales Pipeline, ERP for Inventory, HRM for Headcount).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Buoc_3_%E2%80%93_Ket_noi_du_lieu_actuals\"><\/span><b>Step 3 \u2013 Connect actuals data<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The accuracy of the Actuals is a crucial factor for Rolling Forecasts.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Source: Actuals<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Retrieve Actuals from accounting systems, ERP, CRM, and expense management platforms like Bizzi.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Standardization:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Standardize account, unit, and product codes to <\/span><b>Mount<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Mapping) accurately with the forecast model.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Timeliness:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Ensure that each forecast period starts from the most recent, closed-end, or reconciled real number. <\/span><b>Do not use &quot;estimates&quot;.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to reduce discrepancies.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Buoc_4_%E2%80%93_Cap_nhat_forecast_dinh_ky_cuon_chieu\"><\/span><b>Step 4 \u2013 Update the forecast periodically (rolling)<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is the core operational phase:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Roll forward:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Automatically remove the period that has passed from the horizon and add a new period at the end.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Update Assumptions:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Based on the actuals results and new market signals, the Assumptions and Drivers need to be adjusted (e.g., next month&#039;s growth rate, conversion rate, cost of goods sold).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Buoc_5_%E2%80%93_Phan_tich_sai_lech_Variance_analysis\"><\/span><b>Step 5 \u2013 Variance analysis<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After each period, the FP&amp;A needs to be compared: <\/span><b>Actuals vs Budget vs Previous Forecast<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Decomposition error:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Analyze the discrepancies based on factors such as <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Volume<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (quantity), <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Price<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (selling price) <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mix<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (product structure) <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Productivity<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (productivity).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Identify the root cause:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Identify the root cause in order to propose solutions. <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">action<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (action), not just simply &quot;recording discrepancies&quot;. For example: Revenue discrepancies due to decreased Volume (<\/span><b>action:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Marketing increased spending on the campaign), or due to a decrease in price.<\/span><b>action:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Sales should review the discount policy.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Buoc_6_%E2%80%93_Dieu_chinh_ke_hoach_ngan_sach_va_hanh_dong\"><\/span><b>Step 6 \u2013 Adjust the plan, budget, and actions.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is Rolling Forecast&#039;s ultimate goal: to turn insights into action.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Adjust your financial plan:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> If the forecast indicates a cash flow deficit in the next six months, immediate adjustments to Capex, working capital, and the funding plan are necessary.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Adjusting the strategy:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> If the forecast profit margin decreases, the cost structure, pricing plan, and product mix need to be reviewed.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Action engagement:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Integrate the Rolling Forecast directly into the action plan of each department (Sales, Marketing, Operations).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rolling_forecast_workflow_va_vai_tro_cac_phong_ban\"><\/span><b>Rolling forecast workflow and departmental roles<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling forecasting is a job that requires collaboration across multiple departments:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Sales and Marketing:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Provide a sales pipeline forecast, campaign plan, and expenditure plan.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Supply Chain and Operations:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Provides Capacity (production capacity), Lead Time (delivery time), and production\/inventory plans.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>HR:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Headcount plan, compensation roadmap, and personnel costs.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>FP&amp;A:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Build models, gather data, analyze variance, and lead dialogue with businesses.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>CFO\/CEO:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Make decisions, validate scenarios, and determine course of action.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"V_Ung_dung_Rolling_Forecast_trong_quan_tri_tai_chinh_va_chi_phi\"><\/span><b>V. Application of Rolling Forecast in Financial and Cost Management<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast elevates financial management by... <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">noted<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> luxurious <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">forecast<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">adjust<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Quan_tri_loi_nhuan_lien_tuc\"><\/span><b>Continuous Profit Management<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast allows you to track EBITDA, Gross Margin, and Net Profit continuously over the next 12\u201318 months. This helps:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Early risk identification:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Identify the downward trend in profit margins nine months before it becomes the Actuals, instead of waiting until the end of the year.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Flexible adjustments:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This creates space to adjust pricing strategies, optimize cost structures, or change the product mix in a timely manner.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rolling_cash_flow_forecast\"><\/span><b>Rolling cash flow forecast<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is one of the most important applications. Rolling Cash Flow Forecast helps predict cash inflows and outflows on a monthly\/quarterly basis:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Connecting P&amp;L to the Balance Sheet:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Connect the P&amp;L forecast with Working Capital (AR, AP, Inventory) to get a comprehensive view of cash flow.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Reduce risk:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Reduce risk <\/span><b>&quot;Profits reported, but a lack of actual cash flow&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> due to poor management of accounts receivable\/payable.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Active capital plan:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This allows the CFO to proactively plan fundraising, negotiate bank loans, or adjust the timing of Capex payments.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Lap_ngan_sach_linh_hoat_agile_budgeting\"><\/span><b>Agile budgeting<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast is used as input for mid-year budget updates (in-year budget updates). This helps shift the mindset from <\/span><b>&quot;fix budget&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (fixed budget) to <\/span><b>&quot;budget + rolling view&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Budget included, with a rolling perspective).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It helps:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Reduce the number of stressful and time-consuming negotiation cycles each year.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Increase focus on execution by continuously adjusting spending targets to align with the latest revenue forecasts.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Quan_tri_rui_ro_tai_chinh\"><\/span><b>Financial risk management<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast, combined with Scenario Planning, allows for the implementation of... <\/span><b>Stress Test<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Endurance test).<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Impact assessment:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Assess the impact of fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, or raw material prices on P&amp;L and Cash Flow.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Preparing for defensive decisions:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> If the Downside scenario indicates high risk, leaders can prepare defensive decisions such as: delaying the Capex payment schedule, restructuring debt, or optimizing operating costs early.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"VI_Uu_nhuoc_diem_va_dieu_kien_de_Rolling_Forecast_thanh_cong\"><\/span><b>VI. Advantages, disadvantages, and conditions for successful Rolling Forecast<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast elevates financial management by... <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">noted<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> luxurious <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">forecast<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">adjust<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Quan_tri_loi_nhuan_lien_tuc-2\"><\/span><b>Continuous Profit Management<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast allows you to track EBITDA, Gross Margin, and Net Profit continuously over the next 12\u201318 months. This helps:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Early risk identification:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Identify the downward trend in profit margins nine months before it becomes the Actuals, instead of waiting until the end of the year.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Flexible adjustments:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This creates space to adjust pricing strategies, optimize cost structures, or change the product mix in a timely manner.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rolling_cash_flow_forecast-2\"><\/span><b>Rolling cash flow forecast<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This is one of the most important applications. Rolling Cash Flow Forecast helps predict cash inflows and outflows on a monthly\/quarterly basis:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Connecting P&amp;L to the Balance Sheet:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Connect the P&amp;L forecast with Working Capital (AR, AP, Inventory) to get a comprehensive view of cash flow.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Reduce risk:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Reduce risk <\/span><b>&quot;Profits reported, but a lack of actual cash flow&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> due to poor management of accounts receivable\/payable.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Active capital plan:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This allows the CFO to proactively plan fundraising, negotiate bank loans, or adjust the timing of Capex payments.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Lap_ngan_sach_linh_hoat_agile_budgeting-2\"><\/span><b>Agile budgeting<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast is used as input for mid-year budget updates (in-year budget updates). This helps shift the mindset from <\/span><b>&quot;fix budget&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (fixed budget) to <\/span><b>&quot;budget + rolling view&quot;<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Budget included, with a rolling perspective).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It helps:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Reduce the number of stressful and time-consuming negotiation cycles each year.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Increase focus on execution by continuously adjusting spending targets to align with the latest revenue forecasts.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Quan_tri_rui_ro_tai_chinh-2\"><\/span><b>Financial risk management<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast, combined with Scenario Planning, allows for the implementation of... <\/span><b>Stress Test<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> (Endurance test).<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Impact assessment:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Assess the impact of fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, or raw material prices on P&amp;L and Cash Flow.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Preparing for defensive decisions:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> If the Downside scenario indicates high risk, leaders can prepare defensive decisions such as: delaying the Capex payment schedule, restructuring debt, or optimizing operating costs early.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"VII_Cong_nghe_giai_phap_EPM_ho_tro_Rolling_forecast_la_gi\"><\/span><b>VII. What are EPM technologies and solutions that support rolling forecasting?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In reality, rolling forecasting is very difficult to succeed when relying solely on Excel and ERP systems.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Van_de_khi_lam_rolling_forecast_bang_Excel_va_ERP_thuan\"><\/span><b>The problem with creating rolling forecasts using pure Excel and ERP.<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>The Actuals data is being retrieved slowly:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> It involves many steps: Export, Clean, and Import.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Version control is difficult.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Each business unit has its own file, making it difficult to consolidate and compare different forecast versions.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>It takes time to combine the numbers:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Comparing Scenario and Variance Analysis is time-consuming, instead of focusing on the analysis itself.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"VIII_Cau_hoi_thuong_gap_ve_Rolling_Forecast_la_gi\"><\/span><b>VIII. Frequently Asked Questions about Rolling Forecasts<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>What is a rolling forecast in corporate finance?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> It is a continuous financial forecasting method that maintains a fixed view of the future (12-18-24 months), helping leaders make timely decisions.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>How often should rolling forecasts be updated?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Monthly (if you have EPM) or quarterly (if you&#039;re just starting out or your business is relatively stable) is the most common frequency.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Does rolling forecasting replace annual budgeting, or do they run in parallel?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Rolling Forecast typically runs in parallel, acting as a \u201cflexible forecasting tool.\u201d The annual budget remains the \u201ccontrol target and spending limit.\u201d However, Rolling Forecast can be used as input for mid-term annual budget updates (Agile Budgeting).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Should small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) create rolling forecasts, and where should they start?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Yes, you should start by forecasting P&amp;L and Cash Flow for the next 12 months quarterly, focusing on 3-4 key drivers and using simple tools before investing in EPM.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Which software effectively supports rolling forecasting in the context of Vietnamese businesses?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> EPM\/FP&amp;A platforms are the most effective solution for automating processes, instead of using Excel.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>How does rolling forecasting work when integrated with EPM and Bizzi?<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Bizzi provides cost actuals that are processed automatically and promptly. EPM automatically retrieves these actuals, rolls up the forecast model, allows FP&amp;A to adjust Assumptions\/Drivers and run Scenarios, and then outputs the data to a dashboard for management.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"IX_Ket_luan\"><\/span><b>IX. Conclusion<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This article has explained in detail what Rolling Forecast is. <\/span><b>Rolling Forecast<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> It&#039;s not just a forecasting technique, but a <\/span><b>flexible financial operating methods<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and proactive. It forces businesses to look beyond the current fiscal year, giving them ample time to adjust their strategies and resources.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In an uncertain economic environment, the ability to clearly see revenue, profits, and cash flow over the next 12\u201324 months is a vital competitive advantage.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When combined with a supporting technology platform:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>EPM platform <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It helps automate scripting, script management, and analysis.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><b>Cost data platforms like Bizzi<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Provide Actuals clean and timely.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rolling Forecast transformed from a \u201claborious Excel file\u201d into a <\/span><b>continuous financial performance management system<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This helps CFOs\/CEOs make quick decisions based on the latest data.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In today&#039;s volatile business environment, shocks related to raw material costs, interest rates, exchange rates, and more can occur.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":999979517,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[76],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-999979516","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-goc-nhin-cfo"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/999979516","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/56"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=999979516"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/999979516\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":999980444,"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/999979516\/revisions\/999980444"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/999979517"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=999979516"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=999979516"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bizzi.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=999979516"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}